“If you want divorce, it will be messy, noisy and not easy.” These were the words of one of Nasa Co-principals, Moses Wetang’ula as he vowed to fight for his position as the Minority leader in the Senate.
It is alleged that Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) legislators led by Homa Bay Senator Moses Kajwang have been vocal on the idea of removing Wetangula and replacing him with his Deputy, James Orengo. Kajwang affirmed that although the Bungoma legislator led them well since the time he assumed office, the coalition needs a more efficient person in the same position.
Wetang’ula has however vowed to fight for his position stating that he was among the founder members of Nasa and that he was not invited to join the coalition. He further promised that he is prepared to fight whoever intends to remove him from his current position.
ODM has a total of twenty senators in the senate against a combined seven from the other forming parties.
In the previous month, Uriri Member of Parliament Hon. Mark Nyamita called on the coalition leader Raila Odinga to dissolve the coalition citing that some parties existed in the Alliance to sabotage the ODM party movement by not honouring agreements.
The MP stated that there was no need for the parties to claim unity for a course but desert ODM and Raila at the final hour. “There is no need of being with them in Nasa yet their hearts are elsewhere.”
Rongo MP Hon. Paul Abuor echoed similar sentiments affirming that the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) between the Nasa principals ended when Kalonzo, Mudavadi and Wetangula failed to show up during the ghost swearing in of their leader, Hon. Raila Odinga.
He stated that ODM’s move to remove Wetang’ula as their minority leader in the Senate was not just a move by the senators but an agreement of the party. He echoed that ODM has chosen to move foward with its political agenda as a party and not as an affiliate of Nasa.
What then does this mean to the opposition fraternity? To the best of my knowledge, the coalition can only be dissolved if at least three parties opt out. This is in accordance to the pre-election agreement that was reached at before the 2017 general elections. However, if this is to be adhered to and the coalition is dissolved, who amongst the three will fall victim?
Following ODM’s political strength in both the Senate (20) and National Assembly (98), the party will not suffer much in case the coalition collapses. The other remaining parties: ANC, Wiper and Ford Kenya, will have to team up and form a new coalition if their interests in both houses are to remain relevant.
Perhaps this is why the three co-principals have plans in place to form the Nasa Alliance which will be their new coalition.
This will however be political intimidation to Kalonzo Musyoka (Wiper), Musalia Mudavadi (ANC) and Moses Wetang’ula of Ford Kenya. Should ODM opt out and decides to fully work with the government, it will automatically mean that the affairs and support of ODM as a party will be boosted by the numbers of those in the Jubilee Alliance and vice versa.
For this same reason, Kalonzo, Mudavadi and Wetang’ula have asked ODM to obey and stick to the 2017 pre-election agreement and focus on future politics as a coalition. This should be the case because the contribution of the three principals and the role they played in the opposition in the past years cannot be looked down upon.
If at all an agreement is to be made on whether the opposition should work hand in hand with the government, all the four principals should be considered as part of the MoU that is to be agreed upon.